Saturday, March 27, 2010

pregnancy figures

In The Argus Tim Ridgway is praising the reduction of the teen pregnancy rate.
Teenage pregnancies in Brighton and Hove have fallen by a quarter in the last decade. Latest figures show 150 young women – or 36 for every 1,000 15 to 17-year-olds in the city - fell pregnant in 2008.

It marks a 25% drop since 1998 – compared to a national average of 13% - and was flagged up as “significant progress” in the annual review of the Brighton and Hove Children and Young People's Trust Board. The success has been noted on a national level with the city’s representatives sharing its policies with colleagues from around the country.
"Fallen by a quarter in the last decade", "significant progress", "sharing policies", all of these indicate that there has been a steady decrease of teen pregnancy as a result of decisions taken, don't they? Shall we look at the figures [.xls]?

Brighton and Hove appears on line 179 of the spreadsheet. The number of teenage pregnancies recorded each year are

1998 - 187
1999 - 191
2000 - 188
2001 - 161
2002 - 179
2003 - 192
2004 - 184
2005 - 194
2006 - 180
2007 - 181
2008 - 150

That 150 is looking incredibly like a blip in the figures to me, just like the drop in 2001. Let's wait until we've actually got the figure consistently down before we break out the pats on the back shall we?

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